Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.156969 0.168229 0.179955 0.193093 0.207421 0.222592 0.239898
2025-06-29 0.138375 0.154948 0.173155 0.194714 0.219641 0.247669 0.281726
2025-07-06 0.124869 0.143885 0.165522 0.192109 0.224098 0.261595 0.309240
2025-07-13 0.115565 0.136236 0.160428 0.191063 0.229147 0.275363 0.336348
2025-07-20 0.110828 0.133327 0.160329 0.195463 0.240464 0.296847 0.373922
2025-07-27 0.104268 0.127563 0.156115 0.194122 0.244053 0.308353 0.398990
2025-08-03 0.097674 0.121246 0.150667 0.190621 0.244294 0.315121 0.417746
2025-08-10 0.092372 0.116204 0.146454 0.188300 0.245700 0.323205 0.438487
2025-08-17 0.090384 0.115292 0.147465 0.192844 0.256479 0.344536 0.479260
2025-08-24 0.085976 0.110914 0.143589 0.190418 0.257296 0.351750 0.499732
2025-08-31 0.082344 0.107375 0.140622 0.189006 0.259333 0.360651 0.523120
2025-09-07 0.078291 0.103061 0.136360 0.185482 0.258016 0.364394 0.538612
2025-09-14 0.075094 0.099856 0.133574 0.184048 0.259857 0.373216 0.563206
2025-09-21 0.073136 0.098296 0.133028 0.185836 0.266610 0.389955 0.601945
2025-09-28 0.070019 0.094946 0.129752 0.183368 0.266650 0.396107 0.623447
2025-10-05 0.067569 0.092440 0.127562 0.182379 0.268860 0.405737 0.651454
2025-10-12 0.066763 0.092261 0.128739 0.186536 0.279362 0.429391 0.705743
2025-10-19 0.064508 0.089860 0.126506 0.185270 0.281015 0.438405 0.734469
2025-10-26 0.061850 0.086758 0.123089 0.181962 0.279106 0.441206 0.751883
2025-11-02 0.059641 0.084246 0.120459 0.179769 0.278894 0.446842 0.774957
2025-11-09 0.059193 0.084362 0.121838 0.184062 0.289795 0.472532 0.838629
2025-11-16 0.057160 0.081988 0.119264 0.181770 0.289266 0.477758 0.862422
2025-11-23 0.055463 0.080071 0.117330 0.180436 0.290303 0.485834 0.892544